Valuesque

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Insights from practice.

Valuation, financial reporting and capital markets: articles and events from our archive. To receive notifications of new articles, send us an email.

Articles in the archive

2026

  1. Ayvens: Twelve Months Are Not Enough! On Estimate-Driven Business Models and the Limits of Accrual Accounting

    How residual-value estimates affect Ayvens’ leasing profits, and why longer observation periods change the assessment of forecasting accuracy.

    Accounting
  2. IFRS15/ASC606 Driver Seat Accounting: Harmonized but lacking Economic Harmony? The CRO-Example

    Principal-versus-agent accounting and cost-to-cost revenue recognition: how pass-through site fees can shift a CRO’s reported revenue and margins.

    Accounting
  3. IFRS 20 Is Coming … to help National Grid and Iberdrola in UK?

    How regulatory assets and tax timing affect utility earnings, illustrated through Iberdrola and National Grid and the changes discussed under IFRS 20.

    Accounting
  4. Making Sense of a USD 1.77 Trillion Valuation? An Option-Style Approach to the SpaceX Myth-Premium

    An option-style approach to SpaceX’s valuation, exploring uncertainty, limited downside and the gap between a base-case estimate and expected equity value.

    Valuation
  5. Some Thoughts on the Accounting Criticism Raised in the Recent Grizzly Research Report on Ottobock

    An accounting assessment of the issues raised around Ottobock: EBITDA, Russian operations, capitalised development costs and useful lives.

    Accounting
  6. How better Economics can lead to lower Earnings: The interesting Accounting Behind Ethos Technologies’ Q1/26 numbers

    Why stronger business economics can coincide with lower reported earnings: an examination of commission revenue and accounting estimates at Ethos Technologies.

    Accounting
  7. Avis Short Squeeze Trigger: Not Financial Engineering but rather Merton-Model fragility

    Why operating and financial leverage can amplify a short squeeze: an option-based look at Avis and the asymmetric risk of its equity.

    Valuation
  8. Schrödinger: Caught in the (In)famous IFRS 15 / ASC 606 “Software Hole”

    Why Schrödinger’s move from perpetual licences to subscriptions can depress reported software revenue during the transition under IFRS 15 and ASC 606.

    Accounting
  9. Background on audit activities regarding leasing at Gerresheimer

    A closer look at Gerresheimer’s right-of-use assets, lease liabilities and disclosed interest rates, and the accounting questions their development raises.

    Accounting

2025

  1. When Standard Setters are too slow: The Case for Tesla’s 1.5 bn USD Bitcoin Accounting

    (Not only) in my opinion, the seminal and still most relevant paper about bitcoin accounting practice was written about three …

    English
  2. SNP’s Profit Warning and its Order Book: Oh Revenue, where Art Thou?

    Schneider-Neureither & Partner SE (SNP) is a German software company, mainly active in the field of data transformation solutions. The …

    English

2024

  1. Understanding ESOPs (2): How Ocado magically palmed 63.6 mio GBP of Expenses

    In one of our former blog posts we had a look at the accounting functioning of equity-settled stock option programs …

    English
  2. European Banks and the Q3/20 IFRS 9 Overlay: Fundamental vs. Technical Input to Accounting

    As a consequence of the experiences made during the great financial crisis 2008/09 the IASB changed financial instruments accounting away …

    English
  3. SBM Offshore’s “Directional Accounting”: Read-Across to IASB’s Disclosure Project (and to IFRS 10/11)

    In 2011, the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) disclosed a whole package of new and revised standards that all addressed …

    English
  4. Is Proximus Tackling IFRS too Hard?: The Belgian Football Broadcasting Rights Accounting Dispute

    Belgian football is one of the most attractive in the world, even though the national first league is not so …

    English
  5. Understanding Stock Options: Basic Techniques

    Dealing with stock options (employee stock options ESOs or employee stock option programs ESOPs) in business valuation is not easy. …

    English
  6. Equinox’ Share Purchase Warrants: What a Difference an Issuing Motivation (and a Currency) makes!

    Equinox Gold Corp (EQX) is a Vancouver, Canada, -based mid-tier gold producing company with operations in the US, Mexico and …

    English
  7. Babcock’s strange JV Reporting: Catch-Up Effects, omitted Revenues and overshooting Margins

    London-based Babcock International Group Plc. is a multinational engineering support services company with a strong exposure to public clients. The …

    English

2023

  1. Coronavirus: Ryanair’s Unconventional “No Shows” Accounting

    It is not a big secret that coronavirus has hit the airline industry massively. Flight traffic down to super-lows and …

    English
  2. Grenke: More thoughts on Related Parties, Cash and the “Brink”-Problem

    In our most recent blog post we have already given some first comments on the Viceroy-Grenke-case HERE. We think some …

    English
  3. Viceroy’s Grenke-Cash Accusations: rather unlikely that they are true!

    Yesterday, short-seller Viceroy attacked MDax-listed leasing company Grenke AG (HERE). Today it raised some more allegations (HERE). One important point …

    English
  4. IASB’s Financial Presentation Project: The EV/Equity Value Financial Analysis Problem

    In 2019, the IASB issued an Exposure Draft: General Presentation and Disclosures in which the board laid out its proposals …

    English
  5. What I Learnt for My Small Pub Business: The Wirecard Story So Far (6)

    Preface: This article provides a deliberately abstract and simplified account of recent news and press releases. In its main features …

    General
  6. Lessons from the Scandal: Three Weaknesses of IFRS: The Wirecard Story so far (5)

    The Wirecard case provides a lot of lessons for analysts and investors. However, one aspect has not been discussed a …

    English

2022

  1. Wirecard’s low Tax Rates as a Warning Sign? The Wirecard Story so far (4)

    This problem can really bring a dishonest manager’s decision making process to a breaking point: Overstating revenues (and hence earnings) …

    English
  2. Gross Revenue Accounting: Audit is not Audit is not Audit! The Wirecard Story so far (3)

    During the last days we got a lot of questions about what EY could have seen and what is beyond …

    English
  3. KPMG’s Special Investigation Report: The Wirecard-Story so far (2)

    There is an old saying in financial statement analysis: A good balance sheet is mostly even better, and a bad …

    English
  4. Wirecard’s Thrilla in Manila: The Story so far (1)

    Thursday, 18 June 2020, marked the preliminary peak of the story of Wirecard, the German DAX-listed payment processing company. That …

    English
  5. Coronavirus: Beware of the Hidden Fixed Costs in Inventory Accounting

    It is not a big secret that fixed costs are the real ugly thing for companies in crisis. While leading …

    English
  6. Coronavirus: How did Conti manage to pass Q1-Reporting without Goodwill Impairments?

    Continental AG (Conti) did not show any goodwill impairments in Q1/2020 (only some minor asset impairmets). However, in contrast to …

    English
  7. Coronavirus: Q1-Reporting: Wild Loss Reluctance but only mild Cookie Jarring

    Times of crisis always bring out two distinct kinds of bad accounting behavior (along with a lot of good accounting …

    English

2021

  1. The Equity Premium: a Coronavirus-Puzzle!

    Preface: I know that there are some readers who are mainly interested in accounting topics. And those will be served …

    English
  2. Coronavirus: Beware of the Overhedging Effect!

    No matter whether it is about currencies or commodities: operating hedging requires two big decisions. First decision: how much volume …

    English
  3. Coronavirus: Flexibility: The Forgotten Factor in Equity Valuation and Analysis!

    When Michael Jensen published his “Free Cash Flow Hypothesis” in 1986 (‘Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow’, Corporate Finance and …

    English
  4. Coronavirus: Adjustments to Rental Payments and IFRS 16

    On 10 April 2020, the IASB has issued a paper intended “to support the consistent application of requirements” in IFRS …

    English
  5. Coronavirus: Fasten your Seat-Belt for the Year of Pension-Madness!

    These days, investors and analysts have to devote plenty of effort in order to get a better understanding of how …

    English
  6. Coronavirus and Business Valuation: Why the FAUB Is Wrong (Part 2 of the Cost of Capital Discussion)

    The German Institute of Public Auditors' Technical Committee for Business Valuation and Economics (FAUB) has issued a recommendation on applying valuation models during the coronavirus crisis …

    General

2020

  1. Coronavirus: Some Thoughts on the Cost of Capital during the Crisis (Part 1: Equity Parameters)

    Crises are times of change and of uncertainty. For equity investors this requires some fresh thinking on fundamental analysis (see …

    English
  2. Coronavirus: Accounting Standard IFRS 9: Coronavirus Crisis is NOT Financial Crisis 2008!

    On page 1 of its Commission Regulation (EU) 2016/2067, 22 November 2016, the European Union commented in the context of …

    English
  3. Coronavirus: A brief Fundamental Analysis Manual for Equity Investors (Part 2)

    As an add-on to our first part of the Covid-10 Fundamental Company Analysis Manual (HERE) we today provide the second …

    English
  4. What is Debt??? Or: In Defence of the Fitch Approach on how to treat Leasing Liabilities

    In a very interesting article about the analytical state of the new lease accounting under US-GAAP and IFRS, the always …

    English
  5. Coronavirus: A brief Fundamental Analysis Manual for Equity Investors

    The new Coronavirus (Covid-19) is roiling the stock markets. The virus changes the fundamental outlook for many business models and …

    English
  6. Little Swindles in the Dark? How Earnings per Share are calculated in Practice

    It is reporting season these weeks! Best time for a little numbers game (for another recent numbers game see our …

    English
  7. Northgate’s Depreciation Game: The “Fixed Assets become Inventories” Financial Analysis Problem

    Northgate Group Plc. is UK’s biggest provider of light commercial vehicle rental services, with operations in UK, Spain and Ireland. …

    English
  8. Diageo’s Liquor Business: The Maturing Inventory Financial Analysis Problem

    Sometimes inventory is a pure pass-through, such as for typical trade businesses. Sometimes it is developed and transformed via work …

    English
  9. Continental’s Mix Effects: Another Segment Reporting Financial Analysis Problem

    In the past, we already shed some light on the problems of reading the appropriate information from segment reportings of …

    English
  10. Telefonica DE’s OIBDA growth rates: Another Non-GAAP Financial Analysis Problem

    Telefonica Deutschland (TEF DE) is a German based telecommunication company and network operator. It serves roughly 50 mio customers, most …

    English
  11. NMC Health: Demystifying Reverse Factoring: The “Three-is-a-Crowd” Financial Analysis Problem

    Abengoa S.A. (now bust) applied this technique heavily, Carrillion plc (now bust, see LINK to our former blog post [only …

    English
  12. Cyan’s I-New acquisition: The Badwill Financial Analysis Problem

    In 2018, Cyan AG, a provider of network-integrated security solutions, acquired 100% of I-New Unified Solutions AG from Austrian gambling …

    English
  13. Stepping Up and Down the Value Ladder: The “Pars-pro-Toto” Financial Analysis Problem

    In one of his latest posts, Aswath Damodaran put his fingers on a quite interesting side-effect of the well-known Softbank/WeWork …

    English

2019

  1. Better Information or Wiping-out Traces?: The Re-Segmentation Financial Analysis Problem

    Change is part of doing business. Today more than ever. And where there is change in the business there is …

    English
  2. When Remuneration Targets meet Impairment Assumptions: The Weak-but-Strong Financial Analysis Problem

    We know a couple of investors who once scratched their heads about the Chemring Group Plc. 2011 annual report (reporting …

    English
  3. Grifols’ Parking Game: The “Related-Party/Control” Financial Analysis Problem

    In this blog we recently discussed some cases where the concept of control (HERE) or the existence of related-party transactions …

    General
  4. PG&E’s Wildfire Insolvency: The On/Twilight/Off Financial Analysis Problem

    (English version of the VALUESQUE German blog post, 14 February 2019) As a starting point today, we do a little …

    General
  5. Shadowfall’s Attack on Eurofins: The “Related Party”-Financial Analysis Problem (Background)

    On 16 October 2019, short seller Shadowfall issued a report on Eurofins, a Luxembourg-based laboratory services provider, raising several concerns …

    General
  6. DS Smith’s Exceptional Charges: The “in-P&L-Presentation”-Financial Analysis Problem

    IFRS is quite clear on what should be reported in the income statement for determining operating profit measures: Everything that …

    English
  7. Unilever’s Argentina-Accounting Treatment: The Hyperinflation Financial Analysis Problem

    Unilever has just announced a couple of days ago that they have changed the way of how to tackle hyperinflationary …

    General
  8. Schaltbau’s Securitization Program: The Financing/Operating/Investing Financial Analysis Problem

    The German transportation-focussed engineering company Schaltbau Holding AG went through a deep performance valley during the last years. With ca. …

    English
  9. ProSiebenSat1 and the Programming Write-Down: the Kitchen Sinking Financial Analysis Problem

    (English version of the VALUESQUE German blog post, 4 February 2019) Impairments and what investors can read from them is …

    English
  10. Deep Dive into the General Electric-Markopolos Case: Here: The Baker Hughes Accounting

    On 15 August 2019, General Electric (GE) has been hit by a research report written by former Bernie-Madoff-whistleblower Harry Markopolos …

    English
  11. Are News on CEO-blames-it-to-Employees a good trigger for building up a Short Position?

    It is summertime, not too busy, and hence a good opportunity to have a look at some topics which are …

    General
  12. How Renault manages its Accounting R&D-Treatment: The Asset/Expense Financial Analysis Problem

    On 26 July 2019 Renault S.A. published its half-year figures. Many investors and analysts were surprised by the relatively high …

    English
  13. How IFF will build-up a huge Accounting ORIGINAL Goodwill: The Umbrella-Category Financial Analysis Problem

    The IASB and the FASB have one important red line when it comes to intangibles accounting: With a couple of …

    General
  14. Judging Steinhoff by Benford’s Law (and its big limits!!): The Digits-Frequency Financial Analysis Problem

    In my recent articles on financial analysis (see https://valuesque.com/aktuelles/) I mainly focussed on some fundamental analyses that should show whether …

    General
  15. How to sell the same product several times?: The Customer-as-a-Partner Financial Analysis Problem (1)

    What can companies do if the end-customer market is simply too small for their ambitious revenue goals? They can simply …

    General
  16. Can Tongaat turn Sugar into Gold? The IAS 41 Biological Assets Financial Analysis Problem

    While Tongaat Hulett LTD was standing close to the top of our accounting watch-list for a long time (and we …

    General
  17. Joint DRSC and IFRS Foundation Event: ‘Relevance of financial reporting in today’s global environment’

    In the beautiful BMW Group Classic location in Munich the Accounting Standards Committee of Germany (Deutsches Rechnungslegungs Standards Committee, DRSC) …

    English
  18. Earn-Outs as Hidden Personnel Expenses: The M&A-Camouflage Financial Analysis Problem

    M&A accounting is certainly one of the trickiest playing fields in accounting for a couple of reasons: 1) It is …

    English
  19. KBC’s and KBC Ancora’s Relative Pricing: Lessons learned for Distressed Equity Valuation

    On 13 and 14 June 2019, the IVSC-WAVO Global Valuation Conference 2019 took place in Frankfurt in front of a …

    English
  20. Annual Business Valuation Forum: Panel Discussion on Valuation in Uncertain Times

    The 17th Annual Business Valuation Forum, organised by Handelsblatt-Fachmedien and the German Institute of Public Auditors (IDW), took place in Frankfurt on 6 June 2019. …

    Events
  21. Amadeus’ Magic FCF Improvement: The IFRS-16-Financial Analysis Problem (Part 3)

    As we all know, companies often provide their own view on performance measures which not rarely differ quite a lot …

    English
  22. A Short Speaking Tour on Digital and Technology Start-up Valuation

    Two recent presentations addressed closely related and highly topical subjects: valuing digital business models and valuing young technology companies. …

    General
  23. Shell’s Skyrocketing Discount Rates: The IFRS-16-Financial Analysis Problem (Part 2)

    In the famous 1959 Billy Wilder movie “Some like it hot” the former Saxophone player and notorious impostor and gambler …

    English
  24. Deutsche Post: More Debt: Same Equity Value: The IFRS-16-Financial Analysis Problem (Part 1)

    Sometimes stories are better told short. But not so when it is about IFRS 16, the new standard on lease …

    English
  25. Business Valuation for Legal Purposes: The Ultimate Discipline or Just a Colourful Show?

    When it comes to business valuation for legal purposes, three points seem clear to me: fair compensation for minority shareholders and similar …

    General
  26. Telia’s Net Debt / EBITDA Communication: The Restricted-Cash Financial Analysis Problem

    End of 2018 it was finally done. The Swedish telecoms operator Telia Company AB managed to get rid of one …

    English
  27. The EACVA Start-up Valuation Seminar: Responses to Common Objections

    The full-day Start-up Valuation seminar, organised with EACVA, recently took place in Vienna for the third time. A full house of 16 participants! …

    General
  28. Santander’s Inflated Earnings: The “When-OCI-is-Core-Business” Financial Analysis Problem

    The idea of the Standard Setters was straightforward. In order to allow investors a focus on recurring, business-related and controllable …

    English
  29. DOM’s “Underlying Earnings” Definition: The Profit-before-Cost Financial Analysis Problem

    No, business is not developing in a great way for Domino’s Pizza Group Plc (DOM). A weak Scandinavian business, high …

    English
  30. GE’s 23 bn USD Goodwill Impairment: The Non-/Soft-/Hard-Cash Financial Analysis Problem

    (English version of the VALUESQUE German blog post, 29 January 2019) Properly understanding financial statements is highly important for everybody, …

    English
  31. Actuarial? Accounting? Repair?: The ”Pension Valuation” Conundrum

    The last months have seen a couple of new kids in “pension valuation” town (in terms of ideas, not of …

    English
  32. Sasol’s climate spoof: The „useful life“ financial analysis problem

    There is an old rule of thumb in financial analysis: The end of the cycle is near when companies start …

    English
  33. Barclays’ Own Credit Gains: The Fake Iceberg Financial Analysis Problem

    The British bank Barclays Plc had a reasonably good year in 2015, reporting a pre-tax profit of GBP 2.1 billion. …

    General
  34. E.ON and RWE’s Nuclear Provisions: The Default Risk Financial Analysis Problem

    In a few days, Germany's two major utilities with nuclear exposure, RWE AG and E.On SE, will …

    General
  35. PG&E’s Wildfire Insolvency: The On/Twilight/Off Financial Analysis Problem

    A brief calculation to begin with: what is the expected value of a cash flow of €100 that has an 80% probability of being received …

    General
  36. ProSiebenSat1 and the Programming Write-down: The Kitchen Sinking Financial Analysis Problem

    Financial statement analysis is an essential skill for anyone working seriously with business valuation, whether for investment decisions, fairness opinions or …

    General
  37. GE’s USD 23 Billion Goodwill Impairment: The Non-cash/Soft-cash/Hard-cash Financial Analysis Problem

    Financial statement analysis is an essential skill for anyone working seriously with business valuation, whether for investment decisions, fairness opinions or …

    General
  38. One Year after Carillion’s Collapse: The Recurring/Non-recurring Financial Analysis Problem

    Financial statement analysis is an essential skill for anyone working seriously with business valuation, whether for investment decisions, fairness opinions or …

    General
  39. Academia Meets Business Valuation in Practice

    A strong grounding in academic research is valuable, particularly when dealing with investment valuation or business valuation. …

    General
  40. Four Interesting Insights into Business Valuation, Collected at the EACVA Conference on 22–23 November 2018

    EACVA's annual business valuation conference (www.bewerterkonferenz.de) is the leading platform in the German-speaking world for exchanging new insights into …

    General
  41. Matthias Meitner’s Presentation at the 12th Annual EACVA Conference

    The annual EACVA business valuation conference (www.bewerterkonferenz.de) took place in Düsseldorf on 22–23 November 2018. It is the main industry gathering for everyone involved in …

    Events

2018

  1. When Values Evolve: Why a Sound Business Succession Process Matters (Part 2)

    More than 350,000 business successions were expected in Germany by the end of 2022, involving businesses of all sizes. …

    General
  2. When Values Evolve: Why a Sound Business Succession Process Matters (Part 1)

    Business succession is a highly sensitive process, whether it involves a management buyout, a sale to external buyers or …

    General
  3. Anyone Working in Investment Management, Equity Investing or the Valuation of Listed Companies Has Probably Wondered about This

    What companies communicate under ‘Value-Based Management’ in their annual reports often has little to do with the actual …

    General
  4. “After the Match Is Before the Match,” as the Football Saying Goes. Investors Have Long Applied the Same Idea to Crises

    Ten years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the onset of a major financial crisis, fears of …

    General
  5. The UN-supported Principles for Responsible Investment Network Visits CFA Society Germany in Frankfurt

    Workshops and presentations on sustainability, ESG and … were provided for investors, analysts and other valuation professionals from the Society.

    General

2017

  1. The Recent Performance of Actively Managed Equity Funds Has Been Very Poor

    In recent years, investors would, on average, have fared considerably better by choosing a passively managed product such as …

    General
  2. Allianz and Outsourcing the Tax Department

    Outsourcing can make sense when it enables services to be obtained more effectively, more quickly or at lower cost. But it is always important to …

    What matters
  3. Corporate Reputation Is More than Talk: Revenue, Costs and Valuation

    Anyone discussing reputation and values in business should first consider the hard numbers. And …

    Publications
  4. A Deep Dive into What Really Matters: Postgraduate Study in Socially Responsible Investments (SRI)

    Socially responsible investing, ESG integration and impact investing are far more than passing trends. They represent a movement that is steadily …

    Events
  5. What CFOs Need to Learn from Donald Trump

    Donald Trump, the outstanding manager? He certainly has his strengths, but there is little that cannot also be learnt elsewhere …

    Publications
  6. ESG Investments Are No Sure Thing

    Unfortunately, the world is not that simple. Doing good does not automatically make a company's shares a stellar investment. …

    Publications
  7. Extra-financial Factors in Business Valuation

    Take the cash flows, discount them, and the valuation is complete. Unfortunately, it is rarely that simple. Value is often …

    Publications
  8. Why VW Missed a Major Opportunity

    Volkswagen AG is frequently in the headlines for corporate governance scandals, minor controversies or inefficiencies. One of the …

    Publications
  9. Valuing Innovative Business Ideas

    Hardly a week goes by without a student approaching me with a new start-up idea …

    Events

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